Polymarket· Science · Weather · earthquake · Earthquakes

Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

9.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 4, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?75¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?12¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5?4.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7?10.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.8 – 8.9?2.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 9.0 or above?6¢