Polymarket· Politics · NZ · Elections · Global Elections

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

19¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Nov 7, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?0.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?39¢
Can’t both happenWill the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?42¢
Can’t both happenWill the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?0.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?0.3¢
Can’t both happenWill the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?13.1¢