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NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

The market resolves based on the number of seats the National Party wins in the New Zealand election.

PolymarketPolymarket$13 traded 24hEnds Nov 6, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
30-3438%39¢
35-3937%42¢
40-4416%19¢
<257%12.4¢
25-291%0.7¢
45-49<1%0.5¢
50+<1%0.3¢

30-34

38%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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