Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?

Chance

34%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

67¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election?0.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 0%-15%?0.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 15%-25%?7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 25%-30%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?12¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?29¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 45%-50%?13¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 50%-55%?9.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 55% or more?1.8¢

Latest trades

yesterdaySold No at 66¢$13
yesterdaySold No at 66¢$34
yesterdaySold No at 66¢$13