AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory in the US House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 1st congressional district.
- arkansas's 1st congressional district
- democratic party
- republican party
- politics
- us politics
- us house of representatives
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35-40% | 34% | — | 35¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 15-25% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Republican 50-55% | 6% | — | 6.3¢ | |
| Republican 0-15% | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Republican 55%+ | 1% | — | 1.1¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 0.9¢ |
Republican 35-40%
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
Live room
Connecting…Loading…
Sign in to chat in the room.