Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

21.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 17 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election?7.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?23¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?6.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?24¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 30%-35%?9.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 35%-40%?8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 40% or more?2.7¢

Latest trades

8 hours agoBought No at 80.5¢$16
8 hours agoBought No at 90¢$18