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AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

The market predicts the margin of victory for the AR-03 US House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$10 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 25-30%23%25¢
Republican 20-25%20%20.4¢
Republican 15-20%11%11¢
Republican 0-10%9%12¢
Republican 35-40%7%
Republican 30-35%7%13¢
Democrat Wins4%7.9¢
Republican 10-15%3%6.5¢
Republican 40%+2%2.7¢

Republican 25-30%

23%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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