Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election?

Chance

28%

Buy Yes

53.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 20 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 0%-5%?8.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 10%-15%?23¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 15%-20%?25¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 20%-25%?26¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 25%-30%?16¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 30%-35%?9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 35% or more?10¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 5%-10%?9¢