AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the Democratic Party candidate's margin of victory in the AZ-04 US House of Representatives election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 20-25% | 26% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 24% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 21% | — | 25¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 35%+ | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 5% | — | 8.2¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 4% | — | 6.9¢ |
Democrat 20-25%
26%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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