Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 25% or more?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

2.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 30 seconds ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?0.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5% or more?6.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?16.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 10%-15%?35¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 15%-20%?20¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 20%-25%?7.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?33¢

Latest trades

21 hours agoBought No at 99.5¢$17
21 hours agoBought No at 99.5¢$18