AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
The outcome is determined by the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican party in the AZ-05 House election.
Polymarket$244 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 10-15% | 34% | — | 35¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 32% | — | 34¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 21% | — | 21¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 14% | — | 17.6¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democrat 5%+ | 3% | — | 5.4¢ | |
| Republican 25%+ | 2% | — | 2.6¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | <1% | — | 0.7¢ |
Republican 10-15%
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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