Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

3.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election?6.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 10%-15%?4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 15%-20%?22.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 20%-25%?22.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%?56¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?22¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 35%-40%?18.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 40% or more?10¢

Latest trades

1 hour agoSold Yes at 0.6¢$0
4 hours agoBought No at 96¢$24
8 hours agoBought No at 78¢$16
9 hours agoBought No at 77¢$15