IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in Indiana's 4th Congressional District election.
Polymarket$1K traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 25-30% | 48% | — | 57¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 21% | — | 22¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 19% | — | 22.9¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 14% | — | 22.2¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 10% | — | 18.5¢ | |
| Republican 40%+ | 5% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 4% | — | 6.9¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 4% | −38¢ | 4¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | 2% | — | 3.7¢ |
Republican 25-30%
48%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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