Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

25¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election?4.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 0%-10%?6.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 10%-20%?13¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 20%-25%?15¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 25%-30%?16¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?9.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?25¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 45%-50%?15.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 50% or more?9.8¢

Latest trades

57 minutes agoSold No at 74¢$15
58 minutes agoSold No at 76¢$15
2 hours agoSold No at 79¢$16
2 hours agoSold No at 80¢$16
2 hours agoBought Yes at 14.9¢$63