MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the first round of the Mississippi's 4th District House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 40-45% | 25% | — | 26¢ | |
| Republican 50%+ | 18% | — | 35.1¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 17% | — | 18¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 17% | — | 32.2¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 10-20% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 12% | — | 23.1¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | 6% | — | 10.6¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 3% | — | 5¢ |
Republican 40-45%
25%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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