How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

The market resolves based on the percentage decline in ACA Marketplace enrollment in 2027.

KalshiEnds Jul 1, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 5%	97%	—	99¢
Above 10%	84%	—	86¢
Above 15%	63%	—	65¢
Above 20%	32%	—	35¢
Above 25%	21%	—	23¢
Above 30%	12%	—	14¢

97%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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