When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
The market resolves based on when a catastrophic AI duty of care becomes law in the United States.
Kalshi$782 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 48% | — | 82¢ | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 41% | — | 70¢ |
Before Jan 1, 2027
14%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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