MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
This market resolves based on whether the MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge outcome is at least 15% or below 15%.
- Leading
- Below 15%75%
- Trades on
Kalshi- Vol 24h
- —Thin
- Spread
- 10¢round trip on Below 15%
- Ends
- Jan 26, 2034
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 15% | 75% | — | — | 10¢Thin | 80¢ | |
| At least 15% | 25% | — | — | 9¢Thin | 29¢ |
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