Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
This market resolves based on whether Papua New Guinea ratifies Bougainville's independence by the specified date.
Kalshi$0 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 56% | — | 58¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 15% | — | 17¢ |
Before Jan 1, 2028
56%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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