Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

The market resolves based on which listed countries vote to leave the European Union before 2030.

KalshiEnds Jan 1, 2030

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Germany	8%	—	12¢
Hungary	5%	—	9.1¢
France	5%	—	6.9¢
Italy	4%	—	7.2¢
Spain	3%	—	5.2¢
Poland	3%	—	4¢

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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