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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?ArcticCultureEnds Oct 2, 202669%Kalshi71¢$1.7K
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerDonald TrumpPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20263%−1¢Kalshi$1.3K
Iceland EU referendum passes?PoliticsEnds Aug 29, 20261%Polymarket0.6¢$367
Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%Kalshi21¢$226
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%Polymarket8.1¢$209
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202643%Polymarket46¢$73
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202777%Kalshi79¢$10
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?TaiwanPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202619%Polymarket25.8¢$10
Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 20260.8-1.1%PoliticsEnds Oct 30, 202666%Polymarket66¢$10
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%Polymarket2.4¢$3
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 203241%Kalshi41¢$2
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?TaiwanPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20278%Kalshi11¢$0
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?GermanyPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20308%Kalshi12¢
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?HungaryPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20308%Kalshi12¢
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?10% or abovePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202676%Kalshi80¢
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?Before 2040PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 203113%Kalshi17¢
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?Before Apr 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202736%Kalshi40¢
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?Before Jul 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202659%Kalshi63¢
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?Before 2028PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202691%Kalshi95¢
When will Canada gain EU associate status?Before 2029PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202777%Kalshi81¢
Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202615%Kalshi18¢
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%Polymarket8.3¢
EU loses a member before 2030?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 203014%Kalshi17¢
EU has a new member before 2030?WorldEnds Jan 1, 203072%Kalshi75¢
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%Polymarket4.4¢
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20261%Polymarket2.1¢
EU debt downgrade before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202628%Polymarket41¢
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20268%Kalshi10¢
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20277%Polymarket