What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

The market resolves based on which listed countries hold a referendum on leaving the European Union.

KalshiEnds Jan 1, 2030

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Hungary	8%	—	12¢
Italy	5%	—	8.2¢
Greece	5%	—	8.1¢
France	4%	—	6.1¢

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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