Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
The market resolves based on which Federal Reserve precedent is broken.
Kalshi$787 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot Plot Omitted | 33% | — | 35¢ | |
| Presser Skipped | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Reserve President Rejected | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Trimmed Mean Emphasized | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Reserve President Removed | 7% | — | 10¢ |
Dot Plot Omitted
33%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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