2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
This market resolves based on the Democratic Party's popular vote margin of victory in the 2026 US House of Representatives elections.
KalshiEnds Feb 3, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats, ≥2% | 89% | — | 89¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥4% | 82% | — | 82¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥6% | 70% | — | 70¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥8% | 51% | — | 51¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥10% | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥12% | 13% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥14% | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democrats, ≥16% | 3% | — | 3¢ |
Democrats, ≥2%
89%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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