Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC?

The market resolves based on whether the S&P 500 Total Return or Bitcoin has a higher annual return.

Kalshi$6 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Last 24h	Kalshi
S&P 500 Total Return Index	84%	—		85¢
BTC	14%	—		19¢

84%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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