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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will S&P 500 Total Return Index outperform BTC?

Chance

84%

Buy Yes

85¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

17¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 85¢$4
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 86¢$11
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 85¢$5
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 85¢$5
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 17¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 17¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above BTC for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the S&P 500 Total Return Index opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.