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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will BTC outperform S&P 500 Total Return Index?

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

19¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If BTC performs above S&P 500 Total Return Index for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the S&P 500 Total Return Index opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.