Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
The market resolves based on whether the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as Iran's leader by the end of 2026.
Kalshi$184 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 6% | — | 6.8¢ |
Before 2027
6%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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