Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
The market resolves based on whether Donald Trump recognizes Taiwan before January 20, 2029.
Kalshi$309 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 14% | — | 15¢ |
Before 2027
2%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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