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Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?

The market resolves based on whether CMS releases any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota by a specified date.

KalshiKalshiEnds Aug 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Before Jan 1, 202766%69¢
Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

66%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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