Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
The market resolves based on whether the US issues a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan by the specified dates.
Kalshi$134 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 42% | — | 44¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 18% | — | 19¢ |
Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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