Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)

The market resolves based on Lula's vote percentage in the first round of the Brazil presidential election.

Kalshi$6 traded 24hEnds Oct 4, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
At least 44%	39%	—	42¢
At least 37%	86%	—	91¢
At least 40%	68%	—	69¢
At least 42%	54%	—	54¢
At least 45%	31%	—	36¢
At least 46%	20%	—	23¢
At least 50%	8%	—	12¢
At least 48%	8%	—	11¢
At least 53%	6%	—	8¢

39%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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