
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
The market resolves based on the total number of interest rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (0 bps) | 95% | +1¢ | 94.7¢ | |
| 1 (25 bps) | 2% | −3¢ | 2.6¢ | |
| 2 (50 bps) | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| 4 (100 bps) | <1% | — | 0.3¢ | |
| 5 (125 bps) | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| 3 (75 bps) | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| 7 (175 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 6 (150 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 12+ (300+ bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 10 (250 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 11 (275 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 8 (200 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| 9 (225 bps) | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
0 (0 bps)
95%
+1¢Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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