China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
The market resolves based on whether China conducts a ballistic missile launch by December 31.
Polymarket$37 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | 19% | — | 19¢ |
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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