Another NATO article 4 by...?
The market is about which date a NATO article 4 will be invoked.
PolymarketEnds Oct 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 34% | — | 34¢ | |
| October 31 | 23% | — | 23¢ |
December 31
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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