How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

The market resolves based on the number of different countries the US conducts military action against in 2026.

Polymarket$3 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
8	65%	—	66.3¢
9	30%	—	32.2¢
10	2%	—	2.8¢
11	2%	—	3.1¢
12	1%	—	1.2¢
13	1%	—	1¢
15+	<1%	—	0.4¢
14	<1%	—	0.3¢

65%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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