Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
The market resolves based on whether a US ally acquires nuclear weapons before January 1, 2027.
Polymarket$197 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | 5% | — | 6.3¢ |
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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