CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the CT-04 House election.
- Leading
- Democrat 25-30%23%
- Trades on
Polymarket- Vol 24h
- $177Thin
- Spread
- 2¢round trip on Democrat 25-30%
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 25-30% | 23% | — | — | 2¢Thin | 24¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 22% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 22¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 13% | — | — | 3¢Thin | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 9% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 9.5¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 7% | — | $177 | 0.7¢Thin | 7.4¢ | |
| Democrat 10-20% | 5% | — | — | 2¢Thin | 6¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 5% | — | — | 7¢Thin | 8.7¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 1% | — | — | 0.9¢Thin | 1.9¢ | |
| Democrat 50%+ | 1% | — | — | 0.1¢Thin | 1¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | — | 0.7¢Thin | 0.9¢ |
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