NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the NY-04 House election.
- Leading
- Democrat 0-5%18%
- Trades on
Polymarket- Vol 24h
- $157Thin
- Spread
- 1¢round trip on Democrat 0-5%
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 0-5% | 18% | — | $40 | 1¢Thin | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 18% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 12% | — | $77 | 1¢Thin | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 11% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 11¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 6% | — | — | 1¢Thin | 6¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 2% | — | — | 3¢Thin | 3.9¢ | |
| Democrat 30%+ | 1% | — | — | 0.1¢Thin | 1.3¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | <1% | — | $40 | 0.1¢Thin | 0.4¢ |
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