CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the CA-05 House election.
- Leading
- Republican 30-35%34%
- Trades on
Polymarket- Vol 24h
- $10Thin
- Spread
- 64¢round trip on Republican 30-35%
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30-35% | 34% | — | — | 64¢Thin | 66¢ | |
| Republican 35%+ | 34% | — | — | 64¢Thin | 66¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 34% | — | — | 64¢Thin | 66¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 33% | — | — | 61¢Thin | 63¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 33% | — | — | 61¢Thin | 63¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 32% | — | — | 60¢Thin | 62¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 32% | — | — | 59¢Thin | 61¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 31% | — | — | 57¢Thin | 59¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 15% | — | $10 | 28¢Thin | 29¢ |
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Discussion
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