CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the California 49th congressional district house election.
- Leading
- Democrat 30%+40%
- Trades on
Polymarket- Vol 24h
- $658Thin
- Spread
- 67¢round trip on Democrat 30%+
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30%+ | 40% | — | $16 | 67¢Thin | 73.1¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 37% | — | $23 | 72¢Thin | 72.7¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 34% | — | $22 | 68¢Thin | 68.3¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 33% | — | $22 | 65¢Thin | 65.3¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 32% | — | $22 | 64¢Thin | 64.5¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 32% | — | $23 | 63¢Thin | 64.1¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 22% | — | $22 | 43¢Thin | 43.7¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 1% | −52¢ | $508 | 0.6¢Thin | 0.9¢ |
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