Will the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?

If the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Fernando Haddad minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Fernando Haddad if Fernando Haddad wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Fernando Haddad loses. If Fernando Haddad wins, the margin will be positive; if Fernando Haddad loses, the margin will be negative; if Fernando Haddad ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Fernando Haddad runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.