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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.50%?

Pays out if the result is above 3.5.

Chance

86%

Buy Yes

91¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

20¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 26 seconds agoBought no at 20¢$4
  • 26 seconds agoBought no at 24¢$5
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 87¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 87¢$2
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 87¢$7
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 85¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 87¢$30
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 84¢$135
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 77¢$12
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 78¢$8
How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.