Kalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.00%?

Pays out if the result is above 4.

Chance

71%

Buy Yes

73¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

32¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.00%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.25%?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.50%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.75%?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.00%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.25%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?90¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?94¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.25%?83¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.50%?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.75%?81¢

Latest trades

25 minutes agoSold yes at 72¢$25
25 minutes agoSold yes at 74¢$49
50 minutes agoSold yes at 71¢$5
50 minutes agoSold yes at 68¢$20
58 minutes agoSold yes at 68¢$0
1 hour agoSold yes at 72¢$11
1 hour agoSold yes at 71¢$9
1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$20
1 hour agoSold yes at 71¢$71
1 hour agoSold yes at 71¢$5

How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

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