Kalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.75%?

Pays out if the result is above 3.75.

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

81¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

29¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.00%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.25%?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.50%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.75%?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.00%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.25%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?90¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?94¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.25%?83¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.50%?91¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.00%?73¢

Latest trades

7 minutes agoSold yes at 88¢$13
7 minutes agoSold yes at 80¢$2
7 minutes agoSold yes at 80¢$80
7 minutes agoSold yes at 79¢$1
7 minutes agoSold yes at 86¢$40
7 minutes agoSold yes at 81¢$81
7 minutes agoSold yes at 87¢$170
7 minutes agoSold yes at 85¢$21
7 minutes agoSold yes at 79¢$14
7 minutes agoSold yes at 85¢$12

How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

Related markets

Latest trades