Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.25%?

Pays out if the result is above 4.25.

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

50¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 50¢$5
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 21¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 50¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 21¢$2
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 21¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 79¢$12
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 77¢$77
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 78¢$18
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 77¢$3
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 47¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.