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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 10.

Chance

10%

Buy Yes

12¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 60 minutes agoBought no at 91¢$2
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$3
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 84¢$168
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 83¢$10
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 83¢$85
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 82¢$246
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 82¢$99
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 81¢$9
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 81¢$162
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 81¢$32
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.