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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.

Chance

69%

Buy Yes

73¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

35¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 26¢$7
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 25¢$125
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 25¢$50
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 25¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 29¢$1
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 29¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 78¢$4
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 25¢$75
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 25¢$113
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 20¢$21
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.