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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 25 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 25.

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 6 hours agoBought no at 99¢$495
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 97¢$301
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 97¢$970
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 97¢$485
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 97¢$669
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 97¢$58
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 97¢$136
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97¢$669
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.