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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?

Pays out if the result is 105 to 119.5.

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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How this market is decidedShow

If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.